‹ Earned Runs · Friday, May 22, 2026
MIN @ BOS Earned Runs matchups · Friday, May 22, 2026
MIN
Minnesota Twins
8–6
Final
BOS
Boston Red Sox
◆ Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft☀ 64°F CloudyWind 3 mph, R To L
Connor Prielipp · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.0%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.4 BF
Expected batters faced21.4
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.4 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-165
BOLBetOnline+132—
DKDraftKings+127-169
FANFanatics+115-165
We project 2.4 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
BOS lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Jarren Duran (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Ceddanne Rafaela (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Wilyer Abreu (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)11.7%2.4 PA
5Masataka Yoshida (L)11.7%2.0 PA
6Nick Sogard (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Marcelo Mayer (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Carlos Narváez (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)11.7%2.0 PA
Payton Tolle · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.7%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.0 BF
Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts5
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.6 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140-105
BOLBetOnline-130—
DKDraftKings-135+102
We project 2.6 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
MIN lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Byron Buxton (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Brooks Lee (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Austin Martin (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4James Outman (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Trevor Larnach (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Ryan Kreidler (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Kody Clemens (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Luke Keaschall (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Alex Jackson (R)11.7%2.0 PA