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Earned Runs · Friday, May 22, 2026

MIN @ BOS Earned Runs matchups · Friday, May 22, 2026

MIN
MIN
Minnesota Twins
86
Final
BOS
Boston Red Sox
BOS
Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft 64°F CloudyWind 3 mph, R To L

MIN Connor Prielipp · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.4 BF

Expected batters faced21.4
From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.4 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-165
BOLBetOnline+132
DKDraftKings+127-169
FANFanatics+115-165

We project 2.4 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

BOS lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Jarren Duran (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Ceddanne Rafaela (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Wilyer Abreu (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)11.7%2.4 PA
5Masataka Yoshida (L)11.7%2.0 PA
6Nick Sogard (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Marcelo Mayer (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Carlos Narváez (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)11.7%2.0 PA

BOS Payton Tolle · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.7%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140-105
BOLBetOnline-130
DKDraftKings-135+102

We project 2.6 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

MIN lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Byron Buxton (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Brooks Lee (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Austin Martin (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4James Outman (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Trevor Larnach (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Ryan Kreidler (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Kody Clemens (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Luke Keaschall (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Alex Jackson (R)11.7%2.0 PA
MIN @ BOS Earned Runs Matchups — Friday, May 22, 2026 · MatchWiz