DET @ BAL Earned Runs matchups · Friday, May 22, 2026

DET

Detroit Tigers

4–7

Final

BAL

Baltimore Orioles

◆ Oriole Park at Camden YardsElevation 33 ftCenter Field 410 ft☀ 55°F DrizzleWind 6 mph, In From RF

Jack Flaherty · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.6%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.1 BF

Expected batters faced21.1

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.4 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+105-150

BOLBetOnline+115—

DKDraftKings+111-147

FANFanatics+105-150

We project 2.4 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

BAL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Taylor Ward (R)11.7%3.0 PA

2Gunnar Henderson (L)11.7%3.0 PA

3Adley Rutschman (L)11.7%3.0 PA

4Pete Alonso (R)11.7%2.1 PA

5Samuel Basallo (L)11.7%2.0 PA

6Leody Taveras (L)11.7%2.0 PA

7Tyler O'Neill (R)11.7%2.0 PA

8Blaze Alexander (R)11.7%2.0 PA

9Jackson Holliday (L)11.7%2.0 PA

Keegan Akin · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload9.0 BF

Expected batters faced9.0

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.0 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

DET lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Kevin McGonigle (L)11.7%1.0 PA

2Dillon Dingler (R)11.7%1.0 PA

3Colt Keith (L)11.7%1.0 PA

4Riley Greene (L)11.7%1.0 PA

5Spencer Torkelson (R)11.7%1.0 PA

6Wenceel Pérez (R)11.7%1.0 PA

7Zach McKinstry (L)11.7%1.0 PA

8Gage Workman (L)11.7%1.0 PA

9Hao-Yu Lee (R)11.7%1.0 PA