WSH @ ATL Earned Runs matchups · Friday, May 22, 2026

WSH

Washington Nationals

4–5

Final

ATL

Atlanta Braves

◆ Truist ParkElevation 1,001 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 73°F CloudyWind 7 mph, In From CF

Richard Lovelady · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.9%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload9.4 BF

Expected batters faced9.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.1 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

ATL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)11.7%1.4 PA

2Mauricio Dubón (R)11.7%1.0 PA

3Matt Olson (L)11.7%1.0 PA

4Ozzie Albies (R)11.7%1.0 PA

5Michael Harris II (L)11.7%1.0 PA

6Eli White (R)11.7%1.0 PA

7Dominic Smith (L)11.7%1.0 PA

8Ha-Seong Kim (R)11.7%1.0 PA

9Chadwick Tromp (R)11.7%1.0 PA

Bryce Elder · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.2%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.6 BF

Expected batters faced24.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.8 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+115-165

BOLBetOnline+122—

BOVBovada+125-165

DKDraftKings+119-159

We project 2.8 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

WSH lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1James Wood (L)11.7%3.0 PA

2Andrés Chaparro (R)11.7%3.0 PA

3Curtis Mead (R)11.7%3.0 PA

4CJ Abrams (L)11.7%3.0 PA

5Dylan Crews (R)11.7%3.0 PA

6Daylen Lile (L)11.7%3.0 PA

7Paxton Schultz (L)11.7%2.6 PA

8Drew Millas (L)11.7%2.0 PA

9Nasim Nuñez (L)11.7%2.0 PA