‹ Earned Runs · Saturday, May 23, 2026
PIT @ TOR Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, May 23, 2026
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
2–5
Final
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
◆ Rogers CentreElevation 270 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 68°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None
Paul Skenes · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.0%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.5 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-110
BOVBovada-125-115
DKDraftKings-120-110
FANFanatics-125-115
We project 2.5 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
TOR lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1George Springer (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Daulton Varsho (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Davis Schneider (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Myles Straw (R)11.7%2.5 PA
6Ernie Clement (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Andrés Giménez (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Kazuma Okamoto (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Tyler Heineman (L)11.7%2.0 PA
Patrick Corbin · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.7%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.5 BF
Expected batters faced21.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.4 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-115
DKDraftKings-103-129
We project 2.4 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
PIT lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Nick Gonzales (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Konnor Griffin (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Marcell Ozuna (R)11.7%2.5 PA
5Spencer Horwitz (L)11.7%2.0 PA
6Jhostynxon Garcia (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Brandon Lowe (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Oneil Cruz (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Endy Rodríguez (R)11.7%2.0 PA