MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Saturday, May 23, 2026

ATH @ SD Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, May 23, 2026

ATH
ATH
Athletics
02
Final
SD
San Diego Padres
SD
Petco ParkElevation 23 ftCenter Field 396 ft 66°F Partly CloudyWind 8 mph, L To R

ATH J.T. Ginn · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.6%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-165
BOVBovada+130-170

We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Miguel Andujar (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Gavin Sheets (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Manny Machado (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Bryce Johnson (L)11.7%2.2 PA
6Jackson Merrill (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7Ty France (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Freddy Fermin (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Sung-Mun Song (L)11.7%2.0 PA

SD Lucas Giolito · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.4%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2
From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+100
DKDraftKings-116-115
FANFanatics-140+100

We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

ATH lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Carlos Cortes (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Nick Kurtz (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Shea Langeliers (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Brent Rooker (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Tyler Soderstrom (L)11.7%2.3 PA
6Zack Gelof (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Henry Bolte (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Jeff McNeil (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Darell Hernaiz (R)11.7%2.0 PA