NYM @ MIA Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, May 23, 2026

NYM

New York Mets

1–4

Final

MIA

Miami Marlins

◆ loanDepot parkElevation 10 ftCenter Field 407 ft☀ 72°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

Freddy Peralta · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.5%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.7 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+110-155

DKDraftKings+115-152

FANFanatics+110-155

We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

MIA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Xavier Edwards (L)11.7%3.0 PA

2Liam Hicks (L)11.7%3.0 PA

3Otto Lopez (R)11.7%3.0 PA

4Kyle Stowers (L)11.7%3.0 PA

5Jakob Marsee (L)11.7%3.0 PA

6Connor Norby (R)11.7%2.6 PA

7Owen Caissie (L)11.7%2.0 PA

8Graham Pauley (L)11.7%2.0 PA

9Joe Mack (L)11.7%2.0 PA

Max Meyer · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.1%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+125-175

BOVBovada+150-200

We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

NYM lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Carson Benge (L)11.7%3.0 PA

2Bo Bichette (R)11.7%3.0 PA

3Juan Soto (L)11.7%3.0 PA

4Tyrone Taylor (R)11.7%3.0 PA

5Mark Vientos (R)11.7%2.7 PA

6A.J. Ewing (L)11.7%2.0 PA

7Marcus Semien (R)11.7%2.0 PA

8MJ Melendez (L)11.7%2.0 PA

9Luis Torrens (R)11.7%2.0 PA