MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Saturday, May 23, 2026

SEA @ KC Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, May 23, 2026

SEA
SEA
Seattle Mariners
05
Final
KC
Kansas City Royals
KC
Kauffman StadiumElevation 856 ftCenter Field 410 ft 77°F Partly CloudyWind 8 mph, L To R

SEA George Kirby · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.9%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.9 BF

Expected batters faced24.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.8 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-150
DKDraftKings+112-149

We project 2.8 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

KC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Maikel Garcia (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Bobby Witt Jr. (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Vinnie Pasquantino (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Salvador Perez (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Carter Jensen (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Jac Caglianone (L)11.7%3.0 PA
7Isaac Collins (L)11.7%2.9 PA
8Michael Massey (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Kyle Isbel (L)11.7%2.0 PA

KC Stephen Kolek · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.9%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-130-110
DKDraftKings-113-117
FANFanatics-130-110

We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

SEA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1J.P. Crawford (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Julio Rodríguez (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Josh Naylor (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Randy Arozarena (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Luke Raley (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Cole Young (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7Dominic Canzone (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Jhonny Pereda (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Colt Emerson (L)11.7%2.0 PA