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Earned Runs · Saturday, May 23, 2026

STL @ CIN Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, May 23, 2026

STL
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
67
Final
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
CIN
Great American Ball ParkElevation 535 ftCenter Field 404 ft 74°F Partly CloudyWind 5 mph, Out To LF

STL Kyle Leahy · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-150+110
DKDraftKings-148+111
FANFanatics-155+110

We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Blake Dunn (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Elly De La Cruz (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3JJ Bleday (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Sal Stewart (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Eugenio Suárez (R)11.7%2.7 PA
6Matt McLain (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Spencer Steer (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8P.J. Higgins (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Dane Myers (R)11.7%2.0 PA

CIN Chase Petty · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.9%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts1

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-125-115
DKDraftKings-119-111

We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

STL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Alec Burleson (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Jordan Walker (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Thomas Saggese (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Masyn Winn (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Bryan Torres (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Yohel Pozo (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Victor Scott II (L)11.7%2.0 PA