HOU @ CHC Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, May 23, 2026

HOU

Houston Astros

3–0

Final

CHC

Chicago Cubs

◆ Wrigley FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 60°F Partly CloudyWind 7 mph, In From CF

Kai-Wei Teng · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.9%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload13.5 BF

Expected batters faced13.5

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.5 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)11.7%2.0 PA

2Alex Bregman (R)11.7%2.0 PA

3Michael Busch (L)11.7%2.0 PA

4Nico Hoerner (R)11.7%2.0 PA

5Kevin Alcántara (R)11.7%1.6 PA

6Seiya Suzuki (R)11.7%1.0 PA

7Moisés Ballesteros (L)11.7%1.0 PA

8Carson Kelly (R)11.7%1.0 PA

9Dansby Swanson (R)11.7%1.0 PA

Colin Rea · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-185+125

BOVBovada-180+140

DKDraftKings-146+110

FANFanatics-180+125

We project 2.6 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Jeremy Peña (R)11.7%3.0 PA

2Isaac Paredes (R)11.7%3.0 PA

3Zach Dezenzo (R)11.7%3.0 PA

4Christian Walker (R)11.7%3.0 PA

5Jake Meyers (R)11.7%2.6 PA

6Cam Smith (R)11.7%2.0 PA

7Nick Allen (R)11.7%2.0 PA

8Brice Matthews (R)11.7%2.0 PA

9César Salazar (L)11.7%2.0 PA