MIN @ BOS Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, May 23, 2026

MIN

Minnesota Twins

4–2

Final

BOS

Boston Red Sox

◆ Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft☀ 61°F CloudyWind 8 mph, In From RF

Taj Bradley · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.4 BF

Expected batters faced24.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.7 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-165+120

BOVBovada-150+110

DKDraftKings-143+107

We project 2.7 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Jarren Duran (L)11.7%3.0 PA

2Mickey Gasper (L)11.7%3.0 PA

3Wilyer Abreu (L)11.7%3.0 PA

4Willson Contreras (R)11.7%3.0 PA

5Ceddanne Rafaela (R)11.7%3.0 PA

6Nick Sogard (L)11.7%3.0 PA

7Caleb Durbin (R)11.7%2.4 PA

8Connor Wong (R)11.7%2.0 PA

9Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)11.7%2.0 PA

Jovani Morán · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.2%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload9.9 BF

Expected batters faced9.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.1 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 0.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+200-300

We project 1.1 ER vs the 0.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

MIN lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Byron Buxton (R)11.7%1.9 PA

2James Outman (L)11.7%1.0 PA

3Austin Martin (R)11.7%1.0 PA

4Josh Bell (R)11.7%1.0 PA

5Kody Clemens (L)11.7%1.0 PA

6Victor Caratini (R)11.7%1.0 PA

7Orlando Arcia (R)11.7%1.0 PA

8Brooks Lee (R)11.7%1.0 PA

9Ryan Kreidler (R)11.7%1.0 PA