MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Saturday, May 23, 2026

WSH @ ATL Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, May 23, 2026

WSH
WSH
Washington Nationals
20
Final
ATL
Atlanta Braves
ATL
Truist ParkElevation 1,001 ftCenter Field 400 ft 78°F CloudyWind 3 mph, Out To RF

WSH Jake Irvin · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.7 BF

Expected batters faced21.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-145+105
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-151+114
FANFanatics-135-105

We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

ATL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Michael Harris II (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Matt Olson (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Ozzie Albies (L)11.7%2.7 PA
5Dominic Smith (L)11.7%2.0 PA
6Austin Riley (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Mauricio Dubón (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Mike Yastrzemski (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Chadwick Tromp (R)11.7%2.0 PA

ATL Grant Holmes · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.2%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-155
DKDraftKings+116-154

We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

WSH lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1James Wood (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Luis García Jr. (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3José Tena (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4CJ Abrams (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Dylan Crews (R)11.7%2.5 PA
6Jacob Young (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Nasim Nuñez (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Jorbit Vivas (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Keibert Ruiz (L)11.7%2.0 PA