‹ Earned Runs · Saturday, May 23, 2026
COL @ AZ Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, May 23, 2026
COL
Colorado Rockies
4–5
Final
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
◆ Chase FieldElevation 1,086 ftCenter Field 407 ft☀ 94°F ClearWind 1 mph, Varies
Michael Lorenzen · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.5%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.4 BF
Expected batters faced21.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.4 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
DKDraftKings-156+117
We project 2.4 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
AZ lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ketel Marte (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Corbin Carroll (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Geraldo Perdomo (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Nolan Arenado (R)11.7%2.4 PA
5Ildemaro Vargas (L)11.7%2.0 PA
6Gabriel Moreno (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Jose Fernandez (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Tim Tawa (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Ryan Waldschmidt (R)11.7%2.0 PA
Zac Gallen · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.8%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.3 BF
Expected batters faced22.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.5 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-150
BOVBovada+110-150
DKDraftKings+103-137
FANFanatics+105-150
We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
COL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jake McCarthy (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Hunter Goodman (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3TJ Rumfield (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Tyler Freeman (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Troy Johnston (L)11.7%2.3 PA
6Ezequiel Tovar (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Sterlin Thompson (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Chad Stevens (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Kyle Karros (R)11.7%2.0 PA