‹ Earned Runs · Sunday, May 24, 2026
PIT @ TOR Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, May 24, 2026
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
4–1
Final
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
◆ Rogers CentreElevation 270 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 68°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None
Mitch Keller · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.7%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.1 BF
Expected batters faced23.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.6 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+100
DKDraftKings-125-106
We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
TOR lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1George Springer (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Daulton Varsho (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Lenyn Sosa (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Myles Straw (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Davis Schneider (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Kazuma Okamoto (R)11.7%2.1 PA
7Ernie Clement (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Andrés Giménez (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Brandon Valenzuela (L)11.7%2.0 PA
Dylan Cease · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.1%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.0 BF
Expected batters faced24.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135-105
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-152+114
FANFanatics-135-105
We project 2.7 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Spencer Horwitz (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Nick Gonzales (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Oneil Cruz (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Endy Rodríguez (L)11.7%3.0 PA
7Jhostynxon Garcia (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Jake Mangum (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Jared Triolo (R)11.7%2.0 PA