‹ Earned Runs · Sunday, May 24, 2026
CLE @ PHI Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, May 24, 2026
CLE
Cleveland Guardians
3–1
Final
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
◆ Citizens Bank ParkElevation 20 ftCenter Field 401 ft☀ 62°F OvercastWind 9 mph, In From RF
Parker Messick · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.3%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.2 BF
Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.6 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-160
FANFanatics+110-155
We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
PHI lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Trea Turner (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Kyle Schwarber (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Bryce Harper (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Alec Bohm (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5J.T. Realmuto (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Bryson Stott (L)11.7%2.2 PA
7Adolis García (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Justin Crawford (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Brandon Marsh (L)11.7%2.0 PA
Andrew Painter · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.4%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.0 BF
Expected batters faced22.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.5 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-165
DKDraftKings+129-172
We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
CLE lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Travis Bazzana (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2José Ramírez (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Chase DeLauter (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Rhys Hoskins (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Daniel Schneemann (L)11.7%2.0 PA
6Petey Halpin (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7Steven Kwan (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Austin Hedges (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Brayan Rocchio (L)11.7%2.0 PA