‹ Earned Runs · Sunday, May 24, 2026
HOU @ CHC Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, May 24, 2026
HOU
Houston Astros
8–5
Final
CHC
Chicago Cubs
◆ Wrigley FieldElevation 595 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 64°F Partly CloudyWind 3 mph, In From LF
Peter Lambert · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.4%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.7 BF
Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts6
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-125
DKDraftKings+101-135
We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Nico Hoerner (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Michael Busch (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Alex Bregman (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Michael Conforto (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Seiya Suzuki (R)11.7%2.7 PA
7Moisés Ballesteros (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Miguel Amaya (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Pedro Ramírez (L)11.7%2.0 PA
Shota Imanaga · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.3%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.9 BF
Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-165+120
DKDraftKings-144+109
FANFanatics-165+115
We project 2.7 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
HOU lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Brice Matthews (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Jeremy Peña (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Christian Walker (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Isaac Paredes (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Jake Meyers (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Cam Smith (R)11.7%2.9 PA
7Braden Shewmake (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Christian Vázquez (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Nick Allen (R)11.7%2.0 PA