‹ Earned Runs · Sunday, May 24, 2026
MIN @ BOS Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, May 24, 2026
MIN
Minnesota Twins
6–5
Final
BOS
Boston Red Sox
◆ Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft☀ 57°F OvercastWind 7 mph, In From RF
Bailey Ober · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.2 BF
Expected batters faced24.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-135
BOVBovada-105-135
FANFanatics-110-130
We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jarren Duran (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Ceddanne Rafaela (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Wilyer Abreu (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Masataka Yoshida (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Nick Sogard (L)11.7%3.0 PA
7Connor Wong (R)11.7%2.2 PA
8Marcelo Mayer (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)11.7%2.0 PA
Sonny Gray · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.6%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.1 BF
Expected batters faced21.1
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.4 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-110
BOVBovada-135-105
We project 2.4 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
MIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Austin Martin (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Brooks Lee (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Trevor Larnach (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Josh Bell (L)11.7%2.1 PA
5Kody Clemens (L)11.7%2.0 PA
6Victor Caratini (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7Orlando Arcia (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8James Outman (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Ryan Kreidler (R)11.7%2.0 PA