MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Sunday, May 24, 2026

DET @ BAL Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, May 24, 2026

DET
DET
Detroit Tigers
00
Final
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
BAL
Oriole Park at Camden YardsElevation 33 ftCenter Field 410 ft 62°F Partly CloudyWind 5 mph, In From RF

DET Troy Melton · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.5%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-160+110
DKDraftKings-158+119

We project 2.6 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

BAL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Taylor Ward (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Gunnar Henderson (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Adley Rutschman (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Pete Alonso (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Samuel Basallo (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Leody Taveras (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7Tyler O'Neill (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Blaze Alexander (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Jackson Holliday (L)11.7%2.0 PA

BAL Trevor Rogers · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.2%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.3 BF

Expected batters faced22.3
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-145
DKDraftKings+112-149

We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

DET lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Matt Vierling (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Kevin McGonigle (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Dillon Dingler (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Riley Greene (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Colt Keith (L)11.7%2.3 PA
6Spencer Torkelson (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Wenceel Pérez (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Zach McKinstry (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Zack Short (R)11.7%2.0 PA