MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Sunday, May 24, 2026

COL @ AZ Earned Runs matchups · Sunday, May 24, 2026

COL
COL
Colorado Rockies
19
Final
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
AZ
Chase FieldElevation 1,086 ftCenter Field 407 ft 73°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

COL Jose Quintana · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.2%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.8 BF

Expected batters faced21.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-150+105
DKDraftKings-131-102
FANFanatics-150+105

We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

AZ lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Ketel Marte (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Tim Tawa (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Geraldo Perdomo (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Jorge Barrosa (R)11.7%2.8 PA
5Ildemaro Vargas (R)11.7%2.0 PA
6Ryan Waldschmidt (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Jose Fernandez (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Aramis Garcia (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Tommy Troy (R)11.7%2.0 PA

AZ Ryne Nelson · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.1%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+130-185
BOVBovada+140-180
DKDraftKings+125-166

We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

COL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jake McCarthy (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Tyler Freeman (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Chad Stevens (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Troy Johnston (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Ezequiel Tovar (R)11.7%2.9 PA
6Braxton Fulford (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Edouard Julien (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Kyle Karros (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Brett Sullivan (L)11.7%2.0 PA