MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Monday, May 25, 2026

HOU @ TEX Earned Runs matchups · Monday, May 25, 2026

HOU
HOU
Houston Astros
90
Final
TEX
Texas Rangers
TEX
Globe Life FieldElevation 545 ftCenter Field 407 ft 74°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

HOU Tatsuya Imai · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.9%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload19.0 BF

Expected batters faced19.0
From recent starts5

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.1 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-145
DKDraftKings+128-171
FANFanatics+100-140

We project 2.1 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

TEX lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Joc Pederson (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Alejandro Osuna (L)11.7%2.0 PA
3Brandon Nimmo (L)11.7%2.0 PA
4Ezequiel Duran (R)11.7%2.0 PA
5Jake Burger (R)11.7%2.0 PA
6Justin Foscue (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Andrew McCutchen (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Danny Jansen (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Michael Helman (R)11.7%2.0 PA

TEX Kumar Rocker · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.8 BF

Expected batters faced21.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
DKDraftKings-179+134

We project 2.5 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Zach Cole (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Braden Shewmake (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Yordan Alvarez (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Christian Walker (R)11.7%2.8 PA
5Jake Meyers (R)11.7%2.0 PA
6Cam Smith (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Brice Matthews (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Nick Allen (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Christian Vázquez (R)11.7%2.0 PA