MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Monday, May 25, 2026

AZ @ SF Earned Runs matchups · Monday, May 25, 2026

AZ
AZ
Arizona Diamondbacks
62
Final
SF
San Francisco Giants
SF
Oracle ParkElevation 0 ftCenter Field 391 ft 60°F Partly CloudyWind 12 mph, Out To LF

AZ Merrill Kelly · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.9%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload25.0 BF

Expected batters faced25.0
From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.8 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-125
DKDraftKings-121-110
FANFanatics-115-125

We project 2.8 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

SF lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Willy Adames (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Luis Arraez (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Casey Schmitt (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Rafael Devers (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Matt Chapman (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Daniel Susac (R)11.7%3.0 PA
7Bryce Eldridge (L)11.7%3.0 PA
8Harrison Bader (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Drew Gilbert (L)11.7%2.0 PA

SF Landen Roupp · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.6%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
DKDraftKings+123-164

We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

AZ lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ketel Marte (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Corbin Carroll (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Geraldo Perdomo (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Nolan Arenado (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Ildemaro Vargas (L)11.7%2.6 PA
6Ryan Waldschmidt (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Gabriel Moreno (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Jose Fernandez (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Jorge Barrosa (L)11.7%2.0 PA