‹ Earned Runs · Monday, May 25, 2026
PHI @ SD Earned Runs matchups · Monday, May 25, 2026
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
3–0
Final
SD
San Diego Padres
◆ Petco ParkElevation 23 ftCenter Field 396 ft☀ 67°F Partly CloudyWind 14 mph, L To R
Jesús Luzardo · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.7%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.3 BF
Expected batters faced23.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.6 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-165
FANFanatics+120-170
We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
SD lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Miguel Andujar (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Xander Bogaerts (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Manny Machado (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Jackson Merrill (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Nick Castellanos (R)11.7%2.3 PA
7Ty France (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Ramón Laureano (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Rodolfo Durán (R)11.7%2.0 PA
Griffin Canning · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.9%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload20.6 BF
Expected batters faced20.6
From recent starts4
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.3 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-145
DKDraftKings+103-137
We project 2.3 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
PHI lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Trea Turner (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Kyle Schwarber (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Bryce Harper (L)11.7%2.6 PA
4Alec Bohm (R)11.7%2.0 PA
5Brandon Marsh (L)11.7%2.0 PA
6Bryson Stott (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7Adolis García (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Justin Crawford (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Rafael Marchán (L)11.7%2.0 PA