‹ Earned Runs · Monday, May 25, 2026
CHC @ PIT Earned Runs matchups · Monday, May 25, 2026
CHC
Chicago Cubs
1–2
Final
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
◆ PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft☀ 73°F CloudyWind 5 mph, Out To CF
Ben Brown · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.4%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload14.2 BF
Expected batters faced14.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.6 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+110
DKDraftKings-152+114
We project 1.6 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Spencer Horwitz (L)11.7%2.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)11.7%2.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)11.7%2.0 PA
4Nick Gonzales (R)11.7%2.0 PA
5Oneil Cruz (L)11.7%2.0 PA
6Marcell Ozuna (R)11.7%1.2 PA
7Konnor Griffin (R)11.7%1.0 PA
8Jhostynxon Garcia (R)11.7%1.0 PA
9Henry Davis (R)11.7%1.0 PA
Carmen Mlodzinski · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.2 BF
Expected batters faced22.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.5 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-135
DKDraftKings+119-158
FANFanatics-105-135
We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Ian Happ (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Michael Busch (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Alex Bregman (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Michael Conforto (L)11.7%2.2 PA
6Nico Hoerner (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Seiya Suzuki (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Carson Kelly (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Dansby Swanson (R)11.7%2.0 PA