MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Monday, May 25, 2026

CIN @ NYM Earned Runs matchups · Monday, May 25, 2026

CIN
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
72
Final
NYM
New York Mets
NYM
Citi FieldElevation 10 ftCenter Field 408 ft 71°F Partly CloudyWind 4 mph, Out To CF

CIN Nick Lodolo · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.8%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+113-150
FANFanatics+115-165

We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

NYM lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Carson Benge (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Bo Bichette (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Mark Vientos (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Marcus Semien (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5A.J. Ewing (L)11.7%2.7 PA
6MJ Melendez (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7Nick Morabito (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Brett Baty (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Luis Torrens (R)11.7%2.0 PA

NYM Nolan McLean · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.1%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.8 BF

Expected batters faced23.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.7 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+110
DKDraftKings-156+117

We project 2.7 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Blake Dunn (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Elly De La Cruz (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3JJ Bleday (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Sal Stewart (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Eugenio Suárez (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Dane Myers (R)11.7%2.8 PA
7Spencer Steer (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Tyler Stephenson (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Matt McLain (R)11.7%2.0 PA