MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Monday, May 25, 2026

NYY @ KC Earned Runs matchups · Monday, May 25, 2026

NYY
NYY
New York Yankees
43
Final
KC
Kansas City Royals
KC
Kauffman StadiumElevation 856 ftCenter Field 410 ft 83°F SunnyWind 4 mph, R To L

NYY Will Warren · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.6%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-125
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings+114-151
FANFanatics-115-125

We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

KC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Maikel Garcia (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Bobby Witt Jr. (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Tyler Tolbert (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Salvador Perez (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Carter Jensen (L)11.7%2.6 PA
6Lucas Erceg (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7Isaac Collins (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Nick Loftin (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Lane Thomas (R)11.7%2.0 PA

KC Michael Wacha · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.3%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.7 BF

Expected batters faced24.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.8 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+100
DKDraftKings-110-121

We project 2.8 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

NYY lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Trent Grisham (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Aaron Judge (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Ben Rice (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Cody Bellinger (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Max Schuemann (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)11.7%3.0 PA
7Anthony Volpe (R)11.7%2.7 PA
8J.C. Escarra (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9José Caballero (R)11.7%2.0 PA