MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Monday, May 25, 2026

TB @ BAL Earned Runs matchups · Monday, May 25, 2026

TB
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
79
Final
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
BAL
Oriole Park at Camden YardsElevation 33 ftCenter Field 410 ft 69°F RainWind 2 mph, Out To LF

TB Shane McClanahan · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.4%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.1 BF

Expected batters faced21.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.4 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+110

We project 2.4 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

BAL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Taylor Ward (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Gunnar Henderson (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Adley Rutschman (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Pete Alonso (R)11.7%2.1 PA
5Jeremiah Jackson (R)11.7%2.0 PA
6Leody Taveras (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Blaze Alexander (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Jackson Holliday (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Colton Cowser (L)11.7%2.0 PA

BAL Kyle Bradish · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.5%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.7 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-155
FANFanatics+110-155

We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

TB lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Chandler Simpson (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Junior Caminero (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Jonathan Aranda (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Oliver Dunn (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Richie Palacios (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Cedric Mullins (L)11.7%2.6 PA
7Victor Mesa Jr. (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Nick Fortes (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Taylor Walls (L)11.7%2.0 PA