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Earned Runs · Tuesday, May 26, 2026

MIA @ TOR Earned Runs matchups · Tuesday, May 26, 2026

MIA
MIA
Miami Marlins
18
Final
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
TOR
Rogers CentreElevation 270 ftCenter Field 404 ft 60°F Partly CloudyWind 8 mph, R To L

MIA Sandy Alcantara · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.4%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload25.0 BF

Expected batters faced25.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.8 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-140+100
DKDraftKings-134+101
FANFanatics-140+100

We project 2.8 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

TOR lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1George Springer (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Daulton Varsho (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Jesús Sánchez (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Kazuma Okamoto (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Yohendrick Piñango (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Ernie Clement (R)11.7%3.0 PA
7Andrés Giménez (L)11.7%3.0 PA
8Brandon Valenzuela (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Lenyn Sosa (R)11.7%2.0 PA

TOR Braydon Fisher · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.8%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload9.5 BF

Expected batters faced9.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.1 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 0.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+200-300

We project 1.1 ER vs the 0.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

MIA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Graham Pauley (L)11.7%1.4 PA
2Liam Hicks (L)11.7%1.0 PA
3Otto Lopez (R)11.7%1.0 PA
4Kyle Stowers (L)11.7%1.0 PA
5Connor Norby (R)11.7%1.0 PA
6Jakob Marsee (L)11.7%1.0 PA
7Heriberto Hernández (R)11.7%1.0 PA
8Joe Mack (L)11.7%1.0 PA
9Javier Sanoja (R)11.7%1.0 PA