MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Tuesday, May 26, 2026

HOU @ TEX Earned Runs matchups · Tuesday, May 26, 2026

HOU
HOU
Houston Astros
710
Final
TEX
Texas Rangers
TEX
Globe Life FieldElevation 545 ftCenter Field 407 ft 74°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

HOU Jason Alexander · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.7%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.0 BF

Expected batters faced21.0
From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.4 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-115
DKDraftKings-102-130
FANFanatics-125-115

We project 2.4 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

TEX lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Joc Pederson (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Alejandro Osuna (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Brandon Nimmo (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Josh Jung (R)11.7%2.0 PA
5Jake Burger (R)11.7%2.0 PA
6Evan Carter (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7Ezequiel Duran (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Justin Foscue (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Kyle Higashioka (R)11.7%2.0 PA

TEX Jack Leiter · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.1%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.9 BF

Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.7 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-155
BOVBovada+115-155

We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jeremy Peña (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Isaac Paredes (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Yordan Alvarez (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Christian Walker (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Jake Meyers (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Cam Smith (R)11.7%2.9 PA
7Zach Dezenzo (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Brice Matthews (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Nick Allen (R)11.7%2.0 PA