‹ Earned Runs · Tuesday, May 26, 2026
PHI @ SD Earned Runs matchups · Tuesday, May 26, 2026
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
4–3
Final
SD
San Diego Padres
◆ Petco ParkElevation 23 ftCenter Field 396 ft☀ 64°F Partly CloudyWind 9 mph, L To R
Aaron Nola · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.5%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.4 BF
Expected batters faced22.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.5 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-135
BOVBovada-105-135
DKDraftKings+114-151
FANFanatics-105-135
We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Xander Bogaerts (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Bryce Johnson (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Manny Machado (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Miguel Andujar (R)11.7%2.4 PA
6Jackson Merrill (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7Ty France (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Ramón Laureano (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Rodolfo Durán (R)11.7%2.0 PA
Randy Vásquez · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.8%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.5 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-110-130
DKDraftKings+108-144
We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
PHI lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Kyle Schwarber (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Trea Turner (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Bryce Harper (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Adolis García (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Alec Bohm (R)11.7%2.5 PA
6Bryson Stott (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7J.T. Realmuto (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Justin Crawford (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Edmundo Sosa (R)11.7%2.0 PA