CHC @ PIT Earned Runs matchups · Tuesday, May 26, 2026

CHC

Chicago Cubs

1–12

Final

PIT

Pittsburgh Pirates

◆ PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft☀ 79°F CloudyWind 6 mph, Out To LF

Jordan Wicks · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.9%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0

From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-175+125

DKDraftKings-173+130

FANFanatics-180+125

We project 2.6 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

PIT lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Konnor Griffin (R)11.7%3.0 PA

2Jared Triolo (R)11.7%3.0 PA

3Jhostynxon Garcia (R)11.7%3.0 PA

4Nick Gonzales (R)11.7%3.0 PA

5Jake Mangum (R)11.7%3.0 PA

6Marcell Ozuna (R)11.7%2.0 PA

7Esmerlyn Valdez (R)11.7%2.0 PA

8Spencer Horwitz (L)11.7%2.0 PA

9Henry Davis (R)11.7%2.0 PA

Mitch Keller · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Kevin Alcántara (R)11.7%3.0 PA

2Nico Hoerner (R)11.7%3.0 PA

3Michael Busch (L)11.7%3.0 PA

4Pedro Ramírez (L)11.7%3.0 PA

5Ian Happ (L)11.7%3.0 PA

6Seiya Suzuki (R)11.7%2.4 PA

7Moisés Ballesteros (L)11.7%2.0 PA

8Carson Kelly (R)11.7%2.0 PA

9Dansby Swanson (R)11.7%2.0 PA