MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Tuesday, May 26, 2026

CIN @ NYM Earned Runs matchups · Tuesday, May 26, 2026

CIN
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
72
Final
NYM
New York Mets
NYM
Citi FieldElevation 10 ftCenter Field 408 ft 72°F CloudyWind 8 mph, Out To LF

CIN Chase Burns · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.2%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+110
BOVBovada-145+105
DKDraftKings-155+116
FANFanatics-155+110

We project 2.6 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

NYM lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Carson Benge (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Bo Bichette (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Juan Soto (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4A.J. Ewing (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Mark Vientos (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Eric Wagaman (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Marcus Semien (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8MJ Melendez (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Luis Torrens (R)11.7%2.0 PA

NYM David Peterson · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)6.8%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.2 BF

Expected batters faced20.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.3 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-140
DKDraftKings+104-138

We project 2.3 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

CIN lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Blake Dunn (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Elly De La Cruz (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Sal Stewart (R)11.7%2.2 PA
4Spencer Steer (R)11.7%2.0 PA
5Eugenio Suárez (R)11.7%2.0 PA
6Dane Myers (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7JJ Bleday (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Tyler Stephenson (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Matt McLain (R)11.7%2.0 PA