MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Tuesday, May 26, 2026

ATL @ BOS Earned Runs matchups · Tuesday, May 26, 2026

ATL
ATL
Atlanta Braves
76
Final
BOS
Boston Red Sox
BOS
Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft 82°F Partly CloudyWind 4 mph, Out To CF

ATL Spencer Strider · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.5%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.6 BF

Expected batters faced21.6
From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.4 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-140
DKDraftKings+104-137
FANFanatics+100-140

We project 2.4 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jarren Duran (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Ceddanne Rafaela (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Wilyer Abreu (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)11.7%2.6 PA
5Masataka Yoshida (L)11.7%2.0 PA
6Mickey Gasper (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7Nick Sogard (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Andruw Monasterio (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)11.7%2.0 PA

BOS Ranger Suarez · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.3%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.5 BF

Expected batters faced21.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.4 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-150
DKDraftKings+115-153

We project 2.4 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

ATL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Mauricio Dubón (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Matt Olson (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Ozzie Albies (R)11.7%2.5 PA
5Austin Riley (R)11.7%2.0 PA
6Mike Yastrzemski (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7Michael Harris II (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Ha-Seong Kim (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Chadwick Tromp (R)11.7%2.0 PA