MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Tuesday, May 26, 2026

TB @ BAL Earned Runs matchups · Tuesday, May 26, 2026

TB
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
16
Final
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
BAL
Oriole Park at Camden YardsElevation 33 ftCenter Field 410 ft 74°F Partly CloudyWind 2 mph, Out To LF

TB Griffin Jax · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.3%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload14.1 BF

Expected batters faced14.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-145+100
BOVBovada-125-115
DKDraftKings-120-110
FANFanatics-125-115

We project 1.6 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

BAL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Taylor Ward (R)11.7%2.0 PA
2Gunnar Henderson (L)11.7%2.0 PA
3Pete Alonso (R)11.7%2.0 PA
4Samuel Basallo (L)11.7%2.0 PA
5Leody Taveras (L)11.7%2.0 PA
6Jeremiah Jackson (R)11.7%1.1 PA
7Colton Cowser (L)11.7%1.0 PA
8Blaze Alexander (R)11.7%1.0 PA
9Jackson Holliday (L)11.7%1.0 PA

BAL Shane Baz · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.2%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.8 BF

Expected batters faced24.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.8 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-135
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings-106-125

We project 2.8 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

TB lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Chandler Simpson (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Junior Caminero (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Jonathan Aranda (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Yandy Díaz (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Ryan Vilade (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Cedric Mullins (L)11.7%3.0 PA
7Victor Mesa Jr. (L)11.7%2.8 PA
8Hunter Feduccia (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Oliver Dunn (L)11.7%2.0 PA