‹ Earned Runs · Wednesday, May 27, 2026
MIA @ TOR Earned Runs matchups · Wednesday, May 27, 2026
MIA
Miami Marlins
1–2
Final
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
◆ Rogers CentreElevation 270 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 60°F SunnyWind 8 mph, Out To RF
Eury Pérez · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.3%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.5 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-155
BOVBovada+115-155
DKDraftKings+114-152
We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
TOR lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Nathan Lukes (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Daulton Varsho (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4George Springer (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Kazuma Okamoto (R)11.7%2.5 PA
6Myles Straw (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Ernie Clement (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Andrés Giménez (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Tyler Heineman (L)11.7%2.0 PA
Kevin Gausman · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.2%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.9 BF
Expected batters faced23.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-140
DKDraftKings+120-160
FANFanatics+100-140
We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
MIA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Xavier Edwards (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Liam Hicks (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Otto Lopez (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Kyle Stowers (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Jakob Marsee (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Connor Norby (R)11.7%2.9 PA
7Javier Sanoja (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Esteury Ruiz (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Graham Pauley (L)11.7%2.0 PA