‹ Earned Runs · Wednesday, May 27, 2026
HOU @ TEX Earned Runs matchups · Wednesday, May 27, 2026
HOU
Houston Astros
4–3
Final
TEX
Texas Rangers
◆ Globe Life FieldElevation 545 ftCenter Field 407 ft☀ 74°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None
Mike Burrows · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.5%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.3 BF
Expected batters faced24.3
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-118
DKDraftKings-116-114
We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
TEX lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Joc Pederson (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Sam Haggerty (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Brandon Nimmo (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Josh Jung (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Jake Burger (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Evan Carter (L)11.7%3.0 PA
7Justin Foscue (R)11.7%2.3 PA
8Danny Jansen (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Nicky Lopez (L)11.7%2.0 PA
Jacob deGrom · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.5%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.5 BF
Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.5 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-110
DKDraftKings-129-103
FANFanatics-125-115
We project 2.5 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jeremy Peña (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Yordan Alvarez (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Christian Walker (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Taylor Trammell (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Cam Smith (R)11.7%2.5 PA
6Nick Allen (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Jake Meyers (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Brice Matthews (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Christian Vázquez (R)11.7%2.0 PA