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Earned Runs · Wednesday, May 27, 2026

PHI @ SD Earned Runs matchups · Wednesday, May 27, 2026

PHI
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
30
Final
SD
San Diego Padres
SD
Petco ParkElevation 23 ftCenter Field 396 ft 67°F Partly CloudyWind 10 mph, L To R

PHI Cristopher Sánchez · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload26.9 BF

Expected batters faced26.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.0 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-125-115
DKDraftKings-109-122
FANFanatics-125-115

We project 3.0 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

SD lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Miguel Andujar (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Gavin Sheets (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Manny Machado (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Xander Bogaerts (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Ramón Laureano (R)11.7%3.0 PA
7Jackson Merrill (L)11.7%3.0 PA
8Nick Castellanos (R)11.7%3.0 PA
9Rodolfo Durán (R)11.7%2.9 PA

SD Walker Buehler · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.4%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.6 BF

Expected batters faced21.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.4 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-150
DKDraftKings+118-157

We project 2.4 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

PHI lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Kyle Schwarber (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Trea Turner (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Bryce Harper (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Alec Bohm (R)11.7%2.6 PA
5Bryson Stott (L)11.7%2.0 PA
6J.T. Realmuto (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Adolis García (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Justin Crawford (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Edmundo Sosa (R)11.7%2.0 PA