CHC @ PIT Earned Runs matchups · Wednesday, May 27, 2026

CHC

Chicago Cubs

10–4

Final

PIT

Pittsburgh Pirates

◆ PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft☀ 77°F Partly CloudyWind 6 mph, Out To CF

Jameson Taillon · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.2%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-145+100

DKDraftKings-130-102

We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Spencer Horwitz (L)11.7%3.0 PA

2Brandon Lowe (L)11.7%3.0 PA

3Bryan Reynolds (L)11.7%3.0 PA

4Nick Gonzales (R)11.7%3.0 PA

5Oneil Cruz (L)11.7%3.0 PA

6Konnor Griffin (R)11.7%2.4 PA

7Marcell Ozuna (R)11.7%2.0 PA

8Endy Rodríguez (L)11.7%2.0 PA

9Esmerlyn Valdez (R)11.7%2.0 PA

Braxton Ashcraft · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.4%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload25.3 BF

Expected batters faced25.3

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.9 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

CHC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)11.7%3.0 PA

2Nico Hoerner (R)11.7%3.0 PA

3Michael Busch (L)11.7%3.0 PA

4Alex Bregman (R)11.7%3.0 PA

5Ian Happ (L)11.7%3.0 PA

6Seiya Suzuki (R)11.7%3.0 PA

7Michael Conforto (L)11.7%3.0 PA

8Carson Kelly (R)11.7%2.3 PA

9Dansby Swanson (R)11.7%2.0 PA