‹ Earned Runs · Wednesday, May 27, 2026
STL @ MIL Earned Runs matchups · Wednesday, May 27, 2026
STL
St. Louis Cardinals
1–2
Final
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
◆ American Family FieldElevation 597 ftCenter Field 400 ft☀ 74°F Partly CloudyWind 7 mph, L To R
Dustin May · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.5%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.5 BF
Expected batters faced23.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135-105
BOVBovada-130-110
DKDraftKings-117-114
FANFanatics-130-110
We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
MIL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Christian Yelich (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Jackson Chourio (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Brice Turang (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4William Contreras (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Jake Bauers (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Garrett Mitchell (L)11.7%2.5 PA
7Luis Rengifo (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Sal Frelick (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Joey Ortiz (R)11.7%2.0 PA
Chad Patrick · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.9%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload14.5 BF
Expected batters faced14.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.6 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-115-120
DKDraftKings-111-120
We project 1.6 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
STL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1JJ Wetherholt (L)11.7%2.0 PA
2Iván Herrera (R)11.7%2.0 PA
3Alec Burleson (L)11.7%2.0 PA
4Jordan Walker (R)11.7%2.0 PA
5Nolan Gorman (L)11.7%2.0 PA
6Masyn Winn (R)11.7%1.4 PA
7Bryan Torres (L)11.7%1.0 PA
8Yohel Pozo (R)11.7%1.0 PA
9Victor Scott II (L)11.7%1.0 PA