MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Wednesday, May 27, 2026

WSH @ CLE Earned Runs matchups · Wednesday, May 27, 2026

WSH
WSH
Washington Nationals
23
Final
CLE
Cleveland Guardians
CLE
Progressive FieldElevation 653 ftCenter Field 405 ft 70°F Partly CloudyWind 5 mph, In From CF

WSH PJ Poulin · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)5.6%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload9.6 BF

Expected batters faced9.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.1 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 0.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+100-145
BOVBovada+105-145

We project 1.1 ER vs the 0.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

CLE lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Travis Bazzana (L)11.7%1.6 PA
2José Ramírez (R)11.7%1.0 PA
3Chase DeLauter (L)11.7%1.0 PA
4Kyle Manzardo (L)11.7%1.0 PA
5Angel Martínez (R)11.7%1.0 PA
6Daniel Schneemann (L)11.7%1.0 PA
7Steven Kwan (L)11.7%1.0 PA
8Austin Hedges (R)11.7%1.0 PA
9Brayan Rocchio (R)11.7%1.0 PA

CLE Gavin Williams · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.4%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload25.4 BF

Expected batters faced25.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.9 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-185+130
DKDraftKings-161+121
FANFanatics-185+130

We project 2.9 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

WSH lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1James Wood (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Andrés Chaparro (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Curtis Mead (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4CJ Abrams (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Daylen Lile (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6José Tena (L)11.7%3.0 PA
7Jorbit Vivas (L)11.7%3.0 PA
8Drew Millas (L)11.7%2.4 PA
9Jacob Young (R)11.7%2.0 PA