‹ Earned Runs · Wednesday, May 27, 2026
ATL @ BOS Earned Runs matchups · Wednesday, May 27, 2026
ATL
Atlanta Braves
0–8
Final
BOS
Boston Red Sox
◆ Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft☀ 87°F ClearWind 8 mph, L To R
Bryce Elder · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.1%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.9 BF
Expected batters faced24.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.8 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-120-118
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-131-102
We project 2.8 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
BOS lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jarren Duran (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Ceddanne Rafaela (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Wilyer Abreu (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Masataka Yoshida (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Mickey Gasper (L)11.7%3.0 PA
7Nick Sogard (L)11.7%2.9 PA
8Marcelo Mayer (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)11.7%2.0 PA
Connelly Early · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.5%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.2 BF
Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.6 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-105-135
DKDraftKings-105-127
FANFanatics-105-135
We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
ATL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Mauricio Dubón (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Matt Olson (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Ozzie Albies (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Austin Riley (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Michael Harris II (L)11.7%2.2 PA
7Jorge Mateo (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Ha-Seong Kim (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Chadwick Tromp (R)11.7%2.0 PA