‹ Earned Runs · Thursday, May 28, 2026
HOU @ TEX Earned Runs matchups · Thursday, May 28, 2026
HOU
Houston Astros
5–1
Final
TEX
Texas Rangers
◆ Globe Life FieldElevation 545 ftCenter Field 407 ft☀ 74°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None
Spencer Arrighetti · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.7%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.4 BF
Expected batters faced24.4
From recent starts7
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.8 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+115-160
DKDraftKings+106-141
FANFanatics+115-165
We project 2.8 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
TEX lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Justin Foscue (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Sam Haggerty (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Brandon Nimmo (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Josh Jung (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Evan Carter (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Jake Burger (R)11.7%3.0 PA
7Ezequiel Duran (R)11.7%2.4 PA
8Kyle Higashioka (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Nicky Lopez (L)11.7%2.0 PA
Nathan Eovaldi · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.5%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload25.5 BF
Expected batters faced25.5
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.9 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-165+115
DKDraftKings-157+118
We project 2.9 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Jeremy Peña (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Yordan Alvarez (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Isaac Paredes (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Jake Meyers (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Cam Smith (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Braden Shewmake (L)11.7%3.0 PA
7Nick Allen (R)11.7%3.0 PA
8Brice Matthews (R)11.7%2.5 PA
9Christian Vázquez (R)11.7%2.0 PA