‹ Earned Runs · Thursday, May 28, 2026
ATL @ BOS Earned Runs matchups · Thursday, May 28, 2026
ATL
Atlanta Braves
10–2
Final
BOS
Boston Red Sox
◆ Fenway ParkElevation 21 ftCenter Field 420 ft☀ 68°F Partly CloudyWind 4 mph, In From CF
Chris Sale · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.2%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.4 BF
Expected batters faced24.4
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.7 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-150+105
BOVBovada-150+110
DKDraftKings-127-104
We project 2.7 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
BOS lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Jarren Duran (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Ceddanne Rafaela (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Wilyer Abreu (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Willson Contreras (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Andruw Monasterio (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Marcelo Mayer (L)11.7%3.0 PA
7Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R)11.7%2.4 PA
8Carlos Narváez (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Caleb Durbin (R)11.7%2.0 PA
Payton Tolle · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.5%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload23.2 BF
Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts6
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.6 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-150+105
DKDraftKings-152+115
FANFanatics-150+105
We project 2.6 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
ATL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Mauricio Dubón (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Matt Olson (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Ozzie Albies (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Austin Riley (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Michael Harris II (L)11.7%2.2 PA
7Jorge Mateo (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Dominic Smith (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Chadwick Tromp (R)11.7%2.0 PA