‹ Earned Runs · Thursday, May 28, 2026
TOR @ BAL Earned Runs matchups · Thursday, May 28, 2026
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
2–1
Final
BAL
Baltimore Orioles
◆ Oriole Park at Camden YardsElevation 33 ftCenter Field 410 ft☀ 77°F Partly CloudyWind 9 mph, In From LF
Patrick Corbin · LHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.1%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.6 BF
Expected batters faced21.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.4 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-118-120
DKDraftKings-115-115
We project 2.4 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
BAL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Taylor Ward (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Gunnar Henderson (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Adley Rutschman (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Pete Alonso (R)11.7%2.6 PA
5Weston Wilson (R)11.7%2.0 PA
6Leody Taveras (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Colton Cowser (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Jackson Holliday (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Blaze Alexander (R)11.7%2.0 PA
Chris Bassitt · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.2%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.8 BF
Expected batters faced22.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.6 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+120-175
DKDraftKings+108-144
FANFanatics+120-170
We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
TOR lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1George Springer (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Nathan Lukes (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Daulton Varsho (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Kazuma Okamoto (R)11.7%2.8 PA
6Yohendrick Piñango (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7Ernie Clement (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Andrés Giménez (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Brandon Valenzuela (L)11.7%2.0 PA