‹ Earned Runs · Friday, May 29, 2026
SD @ WSH Earned Runs matchups · Friday, May 29, 2026
SD
San Diego Padres
7–5
Final
WSH
Washington Nationals
◆ Nationals ParkElevation 35 ftCenter Field 402 ft☀ 78°F ClearWind 11 mph, Out To RF
Lucas Giolito · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.6%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.0 BF
Expected batters faced22.0
From recent starts2
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.5 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-135-105
DKDraftKings-139+104
We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
WSH lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1James Wood (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Luis García Jr. (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Curtis Mead (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4CJ Abrams (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Dylan Crews (R)11.7%2.0 PA
6Daylen Lile (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7José Tena (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Drew Millas (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Jorbit Vivas (L)11.7%2.0 PA
Paxton Schultz · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.4%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload10.0 BF
Expected batters faced10.0
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection1.1 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
SD lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)11.7%2.0 PA
2Sung-Mun Song (L)11.7%1.0 PA
3Xander Bogaerts (R)11.7%1.0 PA
4Manny Machado (R)11.7%1.0 PA
5Jackson Merrill (L)11.7%1.0 PA
6Miguel Andujar (R)11.7%1.0 PA
7Ramón Laureano (R)11.7%1.0 PA
8Ty France (R)11.7%1.0 PA
9Freddy Fermin (R)11.7%1.0 PA