MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Friday, May 29, 2026

MIN @ PIT Earned Runs matchups · Friday, May 29, 2026

MIN
MIN
Minnesota Twins
56
Final
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
PIT
PNC ParkElevation 780 ftCenter Field 399 ft 79°F ClearWind 11 mph, Out To LF

MIN Taj Bradley · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.3 BF

Expected batters faced24.3
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.7 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-160
BOVBovada+130-170
DKDraftKings+120-160
FANFanatics+110-155

We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

PIT lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Tyler Callihan (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Brandon Lowe (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Bryan Reynolds (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Nick Gonzales (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Oneil Cruz (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Konnor Griffin (R)11.7%3.0 PA
7Endy Rodríguez (L)11.7%2.3 PA
8Jake Mangum (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Jared Triolo (R)11.7%2.0 PA

PIT Jared Jones · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.5%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-155+110
BOVBovada-155+115
DKDraftKings-131-101

We project 2.6 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

MIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Byron Buxton (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Brooks Lee (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Kody Clemens (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4James Outman (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Trevor Larnach (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Austin Martin (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Victor Caratini (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Luke Keaschall (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Ryan Kreidler (R)11.7%2.0 PA