MIA @ NYM Earned Runs matchups · Friday, May 29, 2026

MIA

Miami Marlins

7–9

Final

NYM

New York Mets

◆ Citi FieldElevation 10 ftCenter Field 408 ft☀ 74°F Partly CloudyWind 7 mph, Out To CF

Max Meyer · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.8%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+115-160

BOVBovada+120-160

DKDraftKings+126-168

FANFanatics+115-165

We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

NYM lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Carson Benge (L)11.7%3.0 PA

2Vidal Bruján (L)11.7%3.0 PA

3Juan Soto (L)11.7%3.0 PA

4MJ Melendez (L)11.7%3.0 PA

5A.J. Ewing (L)11.7%2.9 PA

6Mark Vientos (R)11.7%2.0 PA

7Brett Baty (L)11.7%2.0 PA

8Marcus Semien (R)11.7%2.0 PA

9Luis Torrens (R)11.7%2.0 PA

Freddy Peralta · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.3%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.4 BF

Expected batters faced24.4

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.7 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+110-160

DKDraftKings+125-166

We project 2.7 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

MIA lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Xavier Edwards (L)11.7%3.0 PA

2Liam Hicks (L)11.7%3.0 PA

3Otto Lopez (R)11.7%3.0 PA

4Kyle Stowers (L)11.7%3.0 PA

5Jakob Marsee (L)11.7%3.0 PA

6Connor Norby (R)11.7%3.0 PA

7Owen Caissie (L)11.7%2.4 PA

8Javier Sanoja (R)11.7%2.0 PA

9Joe Mack (L)11.7%2.0 PA