MIL @ HOU Earned Runs matchups · Friday, May 29, 2026

MIL

Milwaukee Brewers

5–4

Final

HOU

Houston Astros

◆ Daikin ParkElevation 45 ftCenter Field 409 ft☀ 73°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None

Coleman Crow · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.8 BF

Expected batters faced21.8

From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM-175+125

DKDraftKings-156+117

We project 2.5 ER vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

HOU lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Brice Matthews (R)11.7%3.0 PA

2Zach Dezenzo (R)11.7%3.0 PA

3Yordan Alvarez (L)11.7%3.0 PA

4Christian Walker (R)11.7%2.8 PA

5Cam Smith (R)11.7%2.0 PA

6Jeremy Peña (R)11.7%2.0 PA

7Jake Meyers (R)11.7%2.0 PA

8Nick Allen (R)11.7%2.0 PA

9Christian Vázquez (R)11.7%2.0 PA

Kai-Wei Teng · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload14.6 BF

Expected batters faced14.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.7 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

MIL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA

1Christian Yelich (L)11.7%2.0 PA

2Jackson Chourio (R)11.7%2.0 PA

3Brice Turang (L)11.7%2.0 PA

4William Contreras (R)11.7%2.0 PA

5Jake Bauers (L)11.7%2.0 PA

6Blake Perkins (L)11.7%1.6 PA

7Luis Rengifo (L)11.7%1.0 PA

8Sal Frelick (L)11.7%1.0 PA

9Joey Ortiz (R)11.7%1.0 PA