‹ Earned Runs · Friday, May 29, 2026
ATL @ CIN Earned Runs matchups · Friday, May 29, 2026
ATL
Atlanta Braves
8–3
Final
CIN
Cincinnati Reds
◆ Great American Ball ParkElevation 535 ftCenter Field 404 ft☀ 79°F Partly CloudyWind 2 mph, In From LF
Grant Holmes · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.8%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload22.6 BF
Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.6 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-130-110
DKDraftKings-127-105
FANFanatics-130-110
We project 2.6 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
CIN lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Blake Dunn (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Elly De La Cruz (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3JJ Bleday (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Sal Stewart (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Eugenio Suárez (R)11.7%2.6 PA
6Nathaniel Lowe (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7Spencer Steer (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Tyler Stephenson (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Will Benson (L)11.7%2.0 PA
Chris Paddack · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.0%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.9 BF
Expected batters faced21.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.5 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-150+105
DKDraftKings-122-109
We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
ATL lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)11.7%3.0 PA
2Michael Harris II (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Matt Olson (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Ozzie Albies (L)11.7%2.9 PA
5Dominic Smith (L)11.7%2.0 PA
6Austin Riley (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Mike Yastrzemski (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Jorge Mateo (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Chadwick Tromp (R)11.7%2.0 PA