TOR @ BAL Earned Runs matchups · Friday, May 29, 2026

TOR

Toronto Blue Jays

6–5

Final

BAL

Baltimore Orioles

◆ Oriole Park at Camden YardsElevation 33 ftCenter Field 410 ft☀ 80°F ClearWind 6 mph, Out To RF

Adam Macko · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload9.7 BF

Expected batters faced9.7

From recent starts6

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.1 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

BAL lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1Taylor Ward (R)11.7%1.7 PA

2Gunnar Henderson (L)11.7%1.0 PA

3Adley Rutschman (R)11.7%1.0 PA

4Pete Alonso (R)11.7%1.0 PA

5Samuel Basallo (L)11.7%1.0 PA

6Leody Taveras (R)11.7%1.0 PA

7Tyler O'Neill (R)11.7%1.0 PA

8Blaze Alexander (R)11.7%1.0 PA

9Jackson Holliday (L)11.7%1.0 PA

Trevor Rogers · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%

vs RHB10.8%

K-BB% (command-adj. skill)7.8%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.6 BF

Expected batters faced21.6

From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.4 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder

MGMBetMGM+100-140

DKDraftKings+121-161

FANFanatics+105-155

We project 2.4 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

TOR lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA

1George Springer (R)11.7%3.0 PA

2Ernie Clement (R)11.7%3.0 PA

3Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)11.7%3.0 PA

4Kazuma Okamoto (R)11.7%2.6 PA

5Daulton Varsho (L)11.7%2.0 PA

6Andrés Giménez (L)11.7%2.0 PA

7Nathan Lukes (L)11.7%2.0 PA

8Yohendrick Piñango (L)11.7%2.0 PA

9Brandon Valenzuela (R)11.7%2.0 PA