MatchWiz Plays
Earned Runs · Friday, May 29, 2026

NYY @ ATH Earned Runs matchups · Friday, May 29, 2026

NYY
NYY
New York Yankees
82
Final
ATH
Athletics
ATH
Sutter Health ParkElevation 24 ftCenter Field 403 ft 72°F Partly CloudyWind 3 mph, Out To CF

NYY Carlos Rodón · LHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.1%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.3 BF

Expected batters faced21.3
From recent starts3

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.4 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+110-160
DKDraftKings+105-139
FANFanatics+100-140

We project 2.4 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

ATH lineup · K rate vs LHPExp PA
1Lawrence Butler (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Nick Kurtz (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Shea Langeliers (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Brent Rooker (R)11.7%2.3 PA
5Tyler Soderstrom (L)11.7%2.0 PA
6Henry Bolte (R)11.7%2.0 PA
7Zack Gelof (R)11.7%2.0 PA
8Jeff McNeil (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9Alika Williams (R)11.7%2.0 PA

ATH Luis Severino · RHP

Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF

vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.9%

How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.8 BF

Expected batters faced24.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.8 ER

Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-165+115
DKDraftKings-161+121

We project 2.8 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

NYY lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Trent Grisham (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Ben Rice (L)11.7%3.0 PA
3Aaron Judge (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Cody Bellinger (L)11.7%3.0 PA
5Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)11.7%3.0 PA
6Paul Goldschmidt (R)11.7%3.0 PA
7Ryan McMahon (L)11.7%2.8 PA
8J.C. Escarra (L)11.7%2.0 PA
9José Caballero (R)11.7%2.0 PA