‹ Earned Runs · Saturday, May 30, 2026
KC @ TEX Earned Runs matchups · Saturday, May 30, 2026
KC
Kansas City Royals
6–7
Final
TEX
Texas Rangers
◆ Globe Life FieldElevation 545 ftCenter Field 407 ft☀ 74°F Roof ClosedWind 0 mph, None
Seth Lugo · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.7%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload24.8 BF
Expected batters faced24.8
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.8 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM-118-120
BOVBovada-120-120
DKDraftKings-115-115
FANFanatics-120-120
We project 2.8 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
TEX lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Joc Pederson (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Josh Jung (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Brandon Nimmo (L)11.7%3.0 PA
4Jake Burger (R)11.7%3.0 PA
5Ezequiel Duran (R)11.7%3.0 PA
6Sam Haggerty (L)11.7%3.0 PA
7Danny Jansen (R)11.7%2.8 PA
8Justin Foscue (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Michael Helman (R)11.7%2.0 PA
Kumar Rocker · RHP
Pitcher earned runs Rate10.8% Runs / BF
vs LHB10.8%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.8%
How often he gives up earned runs to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload21.9 BF
Expected batters faced21.9
From recent starts8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection2.5 ER
Expected earned runs — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Earned Runs Line · O/U 2.5we lean Under
BookOverUnder
MGMBetMGM+105-150
DKDraftKings+116-155
We project 2.5 ER vs the 2.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.
KC lineup · K rate vs RHPExp PA
1Carter Jensen (L)11.7%3.0 PA
2Bobby Witt Jr. (R)11.7%3.0 PA
3Tyler Tolbert (R)11.7%3.0 PA
4Vinnie Pasquantino (L)11.7%2.9 PA
5Salvador Perez (R)11.7%2.0 PA
6Jac Caglianone (L)11.7%2.0 PA
7Isaac Collins (L)11.7%2.0 PA
8Lane Thomas (R)11.7%2.0 PA
9Nick Loftin (R)11.7%2.0 PA